Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,

This could be averted if Poland, which commands NATO's third-largest army and whose new president recently didn't rule out talking to Putin if his country's security depended on it, doesn't allow itself to be manipulated into partaking in any related provocations or backing up those responsible for them.

Early September's suspicious Russian drone incident over Poland, Estonia's subsequent claim that Russian jets violated its maritime airspace, and Scandinavia's recent Russian drone scare are responsible for NATO considering a three-pronged response along its eastern flank according to the Financial Times. Their sources indicate that this could take the form of arming surveillance drones, streamlining the rules of engagement for fighter pilots, and holding NATO exercises right on the bloc's border with Russia.