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Tesla is will soon pass the 6 billion miles of driving data which Elon said in 2016 would be needed for robotaxi that is both safe enough and provably safe for regulators.
Tesla is on track for the June 2025 Austin unsupervised (no human driver) paid rides.
This will be expanded to other Texas and California cities through the remainder of 2025.
By October, 2025, Ark Invest expects Tesla FSD to surpass the safety of human drivers. The unsupervised human driving in June 2025 will be safe but Tesla will use more cautious driving in the locations with the best data to get unsupervised 6 months before globally better robodriving.
This also appears on track to achieve driving in 2026 that will be ten times safer than human driving. This will be what is broadly rolled out to millions of Tesla cars around the world.
The billions of miles driving data and the growing AI clusters are ensuring the rapid complete solving of global fleet of millions f robotaxi over 10 times after than human drivers in 2026.