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Collectively, markets are reaffirming gold's role at the center of sovereignty, monetary stability, and global reserve strategy, even as it has become a favorite target of Keyneseian ridicule as everything from a "barbarous relic" to a waste of physical and financial space in investment portfolios and balance sheets.
Yet, confidence in US debt continues to decline, with the "safe" status of Treasuries increasingly being questioned. That's why now, for the first time in decades, collective central bank gold holdings have surpassed the value of their Treasuries. Central banks now hold 20% of all gold ever mined, protecting themselves from the effects of currency debasement even as they, ironically, cause it. Instead of earning yield by holding Treasuries, they continue stocking up on gold, which is a powerful statement against the results of their own monetary experiments.
Because gold is very difficult to manipulate compared to other asset classes, and isn't subject to the whims of central bankers or the ability of an overindebted, over-spending country to pay back what it owes, central banks are rushing to stock more of it. While uncontrolled debt issuance, dollar weakness, and a massive sovereign balance sheet, central banks buy gold to protect themselves from exactly the same problems that were caused by centralized control.
Meanwhile, investors, commentators, and asset managers, love to sing about stock market highs while ignoring the problem: those stocks are being measured in a currency that's constantly being debased. When you price them in gold, you're using a true measuring stick that hasn't been reconfigured by central bank wizards. Suddenly, denominated in real money, most other "booming" assets don't look nearly as good.
USD vs. Gold, 1-Month
Equity indexes like the S&P 500 are well off their nominal highs when you measure them in gold instead of dollars. Even as equities rise in dollar terms, zoom out, and those gains often fail to beat gold's rise. That's because asset booms are being driven by manipulations in the form of money printing, low interest rates, and liquidity instead of real fundamentals.
Bitcoin is no different. Bitcoiners, who love dunking on gold, are celebrating recent latest all-time highs, but love to ignore the fact that real gold is massively outperforming "digital gold." A spectacular Bitcoin crash after Trump's recent tariff announcements brought Bitcoin down from its highs of over $125k down to $107k, all while gold held its ground.