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The funding engine of the entire global financial system is breaking.
$3.7 trillion in net foreign assets.
For decades the entire trade was simple.
Borrow cheap yen.
Buy everything else.
That trade is now unwinding.
- 70% chance Japan hikes to 1.00% by April.
- China already stepping back from US Treasuries.
- Japan potentially following.
When the two largest creditor nations stop funding the dollar system simultaneously...
Everything reprices.
Bonds first. Stocks second. Risk assets third.
The biggest capital reallocation in a generation doesn't announce itself.
It starts quietly in the bond market.