The drought has been the catalyst to expose decades of government mismanagement that caused Iran's water supply to run dry. Now, the government is prepared to issue a city-wide evacuation notice in Tehran if the situation worsens.

Rain will not be sufficient to fill the dry reservoir, which was brought about by government mismanagement—farmers protested against the government in 2018 when water levels were low. Protests erupted in 2021 in the southern Khuzestan province as the people blamed the government for water mismanagement. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) controls construction over the main, poorly planned dam, which has resulted in dry rivers and wetlands. Salinity of the water supply has led to a loss of fertile agricultural land. For example, the Govtvand Damn on the Karun River caused saltwater to destroy nearby land over a decade ago, and the situation has not been resolved.

Over 75% of Iran's land is experiencing groundwater depletion. IRGC-controlled industries receive water as a first priority, and this is used for everything from agriculture to crypto mining. Rural areas are the last to receive water, as it is carefully regulated and rationed by the government. The government has built several new dams with no concern for the ecological implications of diverting water. It is well-known that the nation uses outdated agricultural practices that often require a vast amount of water.

Tehran has no plan; 10 million people are at risk of losing access to water. "In the past, people would go out to the desert to pray for rain," said Mehdi Chamran, head of Tehran's City Council, state media reported. "Perhaps we should not neglect that tradition.'"

Some reservoirs have levels below 3% and rain is simply not sufficient to fill these significantly depleted reserves. A massive humanitarian crisis is underway. Where will the millions of water refugees go when their cities become uninhabitable?