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For 60 years, the 90-mile gap between Florida and Havana has been a geopolitical time capsule, frozen by the longest-running trade embargo in human history. But in 2026, the "gravity" of the Caribbean is shifting. While global headlines are distracted by conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, a "polycrisis" is silently dismantling the Cuban Revolution from within. From a terminal demographic cliff to a power grid operating on a "coin flip" probability, the island is facing a Malthusian trap that no amount of ideology can solve. This is now a country approaching zero in real-time.
The strategy for "taking" Cuba has fundamentally changed. Gone are the days of the Bay of Pigs or the dramatic standoff of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. Today, Washington is utilizing a "Mechanical Noose", a sophisticated web of interconnected logistics, secondary sanctions, and maritime laws like the 180-Day Rule. By leveraging the fall of the Maduro regime in Venezuela and tightening the "Oil Noose" through unprecedented Executive Orders, the United States is rewiring the global supply chain to isolate the island. I explore how "Shipping Math" and "Economic Ghosting" are doing what decades of diplomacy couldn't: forcing the "Apple" of the Antilles to finally fall toward the North.
As the world enters the era of the "4th Empire," Cuba has transformed into a high-stakes prize in the race for hemispheric consolidation. Beneath its soil lies a 500,000-ton answer to the green energy revolution, massive reserves of Cobalt and Nickel essential for the EV transition. This video dives deep into the "Grand Realignment," the risk of a "Crisis 2.0" involving Russian nuclear submarines and Chinese "Dual-Use" facilities, and the multi-billion dollar reconstruction math of a post-collapse Havana. We are witnessing the most significant geopolitical shift in the Americas since 1898, and the ramifications will ripple through every bank, port, and grocery store on Earth.
bank, port, and grocery store on Earth.